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AHT: 12CSV

11 Mar 2020 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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6.0%
Yeni Malatyaspor
16.5%
Draw
77.5%
Trabzonspor

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Yeni Malatyaspor

vs
2.75

Trabzonspor

Markets

BTTS50.9%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.4%
0-3
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
7.8%
0-4
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-4
5.4%
0-0
4.6%
0-5
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
1-5
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).