Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.4%
Valladolid
14.7%
Draw
78.9%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Valladolid
vs
2.49
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.4%
0-3
11.9%
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.4%
0-4
7.4%
1-1
6.9%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
4.9%
1-4
4.3%
0-5
3.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).