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09 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.3%
Wycombe
18.9%
Draw
11.8%
Shrewsbury

Expected Goals (xG)

1.91

Wycombe

vs
0.61

Shrewsbury

Markets

BTTS38.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.6%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.7%
4-0
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).