Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
Lorient
21.5%
Draw
20.5%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Lorient
vs
0.98
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
2.9%
0-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).