Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Willenhall Town
19.5%
Draw
40.0%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Willenhall Town
vs
2.14
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS77.9%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.580.3%
Over 3.562.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
1-1
6.1%
3-2
5.2%
2-3
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
3-3
3.7%
2-0
3.2%
1-0
3.1%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).