Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.3%
AVS
13.5%
Draw
83.1%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.34
AVS
vs
2.42
Porto
Markets
BTTS26.9%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
18.5%
0-3
14.9%
0-1
14.8%
0-4
9.0%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
1-1
5.6%
1-3
5.1%
0-5
4.4%
1-4
3.1%
1-0
1.8%
1-5
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).