Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.9%
Sp Braga
17.4%
Draw
10.7%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Sp Braga
vs
0.67
Aves
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
1-0
13.2%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.6%
4-0
5.3%
0-1
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).