Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Bari
28.0%
Draw
31.0%
FeralpiSalo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Bari
vs
1.25
FeralpiSalo
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).