Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Mirandes
24.8%
Draw
24.1%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Mirandes
vs
1.01
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).