Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Man United
21.5%
Draw
41.0%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Man United
vs
1.83
Bury
Markets
BTTS68.9%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
0-1
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
1-3
5.0%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
2-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-2
4.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).