Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
31.2%
Draw
25.1%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Borussia Mönchengladbach
vs
0.87
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
14.0%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).