Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Strasbourg
21.2%
Draw
34.3%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Strasbourg
vs
1.60
Marseille
Markets
BTTS66.7%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
6.4%
0-1
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
3-2
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).