Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.9%
FC Koln
19.8%
Draw
13.3%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
FC Koln
vs
0.93
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).