Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Gillingham
25.5%
Draw
21.2%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Gillingham
vs
0.75
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).