Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Paderborn
28.0%
Draw
37.7%
Elversberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Paderborn
vs
1.40
Elversberg
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).