Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.7%
Castellon
21.6%
Draw
15.7%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Castellon
vs
0.81
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.5%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).