Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Cartagena
25.9%
Draw
42.4%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Cartagena
vs
1.42
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.6%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
0-0
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).