Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.9%
Shrewsbury
27.4%
Draw
47.7%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Shrewsbury
vs
1.31
Accrington
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).