Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.4%
Sheffield United
17.3%
Draw
7.3%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Sheffield United
vs
0.59
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.8%
1-0
12.3%
3-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
6.5%
0-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-0
3.0%
0-1
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).