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13 Jul 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.7%
Lillestrøm
23.3%
Draw
37.0%
Strømsgodset

Expected Goals (xG)

1.62

Lillestrøm

vs
1.56

Strømsgodset

Markets

BTTS63.3%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).