Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Parma
28.6%
Draw
21.0%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Parma
vs
0.72
Monza
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).