Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Cesena
27.6%
Draw
23.8%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Cesena
vs
1.03
Avellino
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).