Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.1%
Lorient
19.4%
Draw
14.5%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Lorient
vs
0.79
Clermont
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
2-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).