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20 Oct 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.1%
Venezia
23.6%
Draw
61.3%
Atalanta

Expected Goals (xG)

0.68

Venezia

vs
1.66

Atalanta

Markets

BTTS39.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
7.4%
1-0
6.7%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
3.7%
0-4
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
2-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).