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AHT: 01CSV

24 Feb 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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6.1%
Kelty Hearts
12.9%
Draw
81.0%
Falkirk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

Kelty Hearts

vs
2.86

Falkirk

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.569.1%
Over 3.547.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.6%
0-3
11.0%
1-2
8.2%
0-4
7.9%
1-3
7.8%
0-1
7.7%
1-1
6.1%
1-4
5.6%
0-5
4.5%
0-0
3.2%
1-5
3.2%
2-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).