Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Fylde
24.9%
Draw
29.9%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Fylde
vs
1.40
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS63.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
5.0%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).