Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Parma
30.2%
Draw
27.5%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Parma
vs
0.84
Empoli
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.558.4%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
12.0%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
5.0%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).