Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.8%
Leganes
21.0%
Draw
64.2%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Leganes
vs
2.01
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.6%
0-1
11.3%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
5.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).