Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.2%
FC Koln
19.7%
Draw
7.1%
Regensburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
FC Koln
vs
0.50
Regensburg
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.5%
1-0
15.3%
3-0
11.2%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-0
2.3%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).