Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.5%
Auxerre
22.4%
Draw
25.1%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Auxerre
vs
1.07
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).