Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.8%
Hearts
18.0%
Draw
9.2%
Arbroath
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
Hearts
vs
0.84
Arbroath
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
3-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).