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20 Apr 2025 · 10:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.0%
Kryvbas
25.6%
Draw
28.4%
Zorya Luhansk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Kryvbas

vs
1.19

Zorya Luhansk

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).