Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.7%
Lyon
9.8%
Draw
4.5%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
2.90
Lyon
vs
0.52
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.566.5%
Over 3.544.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
3-0
13.3%
1-0
9.7%
4-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
5-0
5.6%
4-1
5.0%
1-1
4.7%
0-0
3.0%
5-1
2.9%
0-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).