⚽ FootballData
0 – 4
AHT: 02CSV

12 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
28.6%
Leyton Orient
23.0%
Draw
48.4%
Portsmouth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Leyton Orient

vs
1.58

Portsmouth

Markets

BTTS53.3%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.3%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).