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DHT: 11CSV

23 Dec 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.3%
Erzurum BB
34.9%
Draw
23.7%
Kayserispor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Erzurum BB

vs
0.93

Kayserispor

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.3%
0-0
14.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).