Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Southend
32.7%
Draw
37.1%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Southend
vs
1.08
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
14.2%
0-1
13.1%
1-0
11.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).