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HHT: 22CSV

08 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.7%
Nancy
16.0%
Draw
73.3%
Lorient

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Nancy

vs
2.25

Lorient

Markets

BTTS44.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.3%
0-1
12.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
7.6%
1-3
6.9%
0-4
5.6%
0-0
4.6%
1-0
4.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
2-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).