Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Oviedo
23.5%
Draw
15.3%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Oviedo
vs
0.70
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).