Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Sunderland
21.3%
Draw
18.9%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Sunderland
vs
0.86
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).