Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.6%
St Mirren
31.2%
Draw
39.2%
Hamilton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
St Mirren
vs
1.16
Hamilton
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
12.8%
0-0
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).