Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.5%
Lincoln
13.8%
Draw
7.7%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Lincoln
vs
0.58
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
1-0
12.7%
3-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
4-0
7.0%
3-1
6.8%
1-1
6.5%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
3.5%
5-0
3.4%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).