Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Sudtirol
28.2%
Draw
20.5%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Sudtirol
vs
0.88
Empoli
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-0
10.5%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).