Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Shrewsbury
27.5%
Draw
36.9%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Shrewsbury
vs
1.07
Northampton
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).