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AHT: 10CSV

06 Dec 2023 · 18:00

Caen

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.3%
Annecy
20.6%
Draw
17.1%
Caen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Annecy

vs
0.82

Caen

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.7%
2-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).