Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Ipswich
23.5%
Draw
16.6%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Ipswich
vs
0.92
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
0-1
4.5%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).