Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.9%
Burton
25.6%
Draw
54.5%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Burton
vs
1.40
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.1%
0-2
11.9%
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.0%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).