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18 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.2%
Obolon'
26.2%
Draw
21.6%
Poltava

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Obolon'

vs
0.90

Poltava

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).