Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Sarpsborg 08
24.0%
Draw
45.3%
Tromsø
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Sarpsborg 08
vs
1.63
Tromsø
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.2%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).