Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.2%
Watford
17.5%
Draw
74.3%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Watford
vs
2.49
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.2%
0-3
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.8%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
6.3%
0-0
5.0%
1-4
4.7%
2-2
3.4%
0-5
3.1%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).