Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Perugia
29.1%
Draw
44.5%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Perugia
vs
1.42
Parma
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).